Kevin Warsh instils doubt in investors’ minds and volatility returns to the markets Last month, we wrote: “Bringing price pressures back under control will become the priority for central bankers, shifting monetary policy scenarios in a less expansionary direction.” In this context, the ECB and, above all, K. Warsh have displayed an increased resolve to…

The equity rally is the result of an exceptional earnings season, particularly in the US International equity markets, especially in the United States and Asia, continued to advance over the past few weeks. The main driver behind this move has been earnings growth, which exceeded investors’ already elevated expectations. This phenomenon has been particularly evident…

Faced with limited economic and political visibility, we are largely holding our positions Investors remain focused on energy prices, particularly crude oil. We are no exception! Our asset allocation has therefore evolved in line with oil prices over the past two months. As a reminder, the Brent price breaking above the USD 100 threshold during…

The conflict in the Gulf reshapes the economic and financial landscape—but to what extent? Over the past few weeks, developments in the Persian Gulf have disrupted economic and financial outlooks. Could it have been otherwise, given the potential upheavals that war can bring? First and foremost, we would like to recall that last month we…

Under the influence of a merciless earnings season… but not only. We are approaching the end of corporate publications on Q4 2025 earnings and on the outlook for 2026. The least that can be said is that investors have not hesitated to penalize companies that failed to meet expectations in recent weeks. A look at…

Welcome to 2026, the year of the new international (dis)order! Some days sometimes feel like weeks. This was certainly not the case in January 2026, when economic, geopolitical and financial developments followed one another at breakneck speed, requiring constant and close attention. From US intervention in Venezuela to the Iranian tragedy, via the Greenland issue…

2026 Outlook: Under the Influence of the “K”! A year ago, the approach of 2025 was influenced by the recent re-election of D. Trump and the questions it raised regarding tariffs, inflation, and risks to global economic growth. The return of volatility to financial markets in the first quarter of 2025 highlighted the extent of…

Gold consolidation from mid-October – it had to happen eventually! October saw gold continue its dizzying ascent at first, before undergoing a marked “drop” in the second half of the month. The reason for this decline lies mainly in the excessive rise of the previous six weeks, fueled by strong inflows in gold ETFs. Let…

Precious metals are in vogue and this could last The month of September offered satisfaction to investors who maintained their positions in the stock markets, even if the progression of indices came to a halt at the end of the period. Stock markets thus defied the traditional negative seasonal effect of September, with an increase…

After a Summer Rally, Equity Markets Face Less Favorable Signs The summer period allowed equities to accelerate the upward trend initiated in May. Beyond the adoption of the US budget law, the fact that the “new deal” in trade desired by D. Trump did not trigger a chain of countermeasures was a more relevant factor…

The first half of the year was far from restful, and the second remains clouded by many uncertainties! Looking back at investor positioning at the beginning of the year, the U.S. dollar’s decline over the past six months must be considered a surprise. From our point of view, this movement is a source of satisfaction,…

D. Trump convinces markets he will always back down, perhaps too much? The month of May was anything but calm on the economic and financial development front. On the positive side, we note the agreement between China and the USA on tariffs and the (still to be confirmed) decision by a U.S. court to invalidate…